"The annual rate of house price growth slowed dramatically in every part of the UK in the first quarter of 2008, bringing the average rate in the UK down to less than a third of the rate at the end of 2007. The annual rate of house price growth in the first quarter of 2008 was 2.2%, down from 6.9% at the end of 2007. House prices slowed most sharply in Northern Ireland where the annual rate fell from 24.2% to -3.4%, but this still leaves average prices more than £15,000 higher than at the end of 2006." - Fionnuala Earley, Nationwide's Chief Economist.
UK fact file
* Average house price: £179,363
* Annual percentage change: 2.2%
* Quarterly change (seasonally adjusted): -1.7%
* Most expensive region: London
* Least expensive region: North
* Region with strongest annual price growth: Scotland
* Region with weakest annual price growth: Northern Ireland
Annual house price growth slows across all UK regions
* Scotland is most resilient market in UK in the first quarter of 2008
* London and the South Easterly regions continue to see fastest annual growth in England
* Northern Ireland and the North West see fall in annual house prices
Commenting further on the figures Fionnuala Earley, Nationwide's Chief Economist, said:
"The first quarter figures clearly show Scottish house prices as the most resilient in all of the UK. Although prices here edged down slightly from the previous quarter, Scotland has now overtaken London in the league table of annual house price inflation. Scottish house prices are 6.3% higher than one year ago, some four percentage points above the UK average of 2.2%. In the past we have alluded to the fact that mortgage affordability in Scotland is not as stretched as in other parts of the UK, and this is likely to be the main factor behind the relative resilience of Scottish house prices.
"After seeing blistering rates of growth through much of 2006-7, London property prices recorded their first quarter-on-quarter drop since the third quarter of 2005. This caused the annual rate of house price inflation to drop from 12.8% to 5.6%, the lowest since the second quarter of 2006. House price growth in London was always likely to slow from the double-digit rates of 2007, given that housing affordabilitywas becoming particularly stretched for local first-time buyers. However, the financial market events since August have probably added to the slowdown by reducing confidence among buyers working in the City of London.
"Despite this slowdown, London prices are still showing the highest rate of annual growth in England and Wales, a situation that has been in place since the first quarter of 2006. However, the gap between London and the second strongest English region, Outer Metropolitan, has narrowed to 2.0 percentage points in the first quarter, from 4.3 percentage points at the end of 2007.
"Annual house price inflation in the rest of England's regions ranged from a low of -0.2% in the North West to a high of 3.6% in the Outer Metropolitan region. The steepest decline in house price inflation was in the South West, where annual growth dropped from 6.4% at the end of 2007 to 0.3% in the current quarter. This leaves the South West with the lowest rate of annual house price inflation in southern England.
"Although annual house price inflation has fallen across all of the Northern regions, it has done so at a slower pace than in the South. As a result, the gap between house price inflation in the North and South has narrowed for the second consecutive quarter. The gap now stands at 3.1 percentage points, down from a peak of 6.7 percentage points in the third quarter of 2007. Nonetheless, a typical property in southern England still costs over £85,000 more than in northern England."
The countries of the UK
"Of all the UK's countries, Northern Ireland showed the clearest change in house price trends. The dramatic increase in house prices seen in the Province during 2006-7 has now come to an end. Prices in Northern Ireland are 3.4% lower than at this time last year. A correction is not surprising given the searing rates of growth seen in 2007 when prices in the first half of the year increased at an annual rate of over 50%. While prices have fallen in the first quarter in Northern Ireland, they are still more than 50% higher than two years ago.
"Looking at the other countries in the UK, the pattern of house price growth has followed a relatively moderate path by comparison. Scotland has outperformed England and Wales since 2003, and remains the strongest part of the UK in terms of house price growth. The annual pace of growth in Scotland has been slowing quarter by quarter for a year, but is still almost three times faster than in England, and more than six times faster than in Wales.
"Nevertheless, the price of a typical property in Scotland is still lower than in any of the other countries in the UK and is about 84% of the price of a typical UK property." Full report